Have you seen this interview with Kate Vernon? Warning: It's very spoilery about her arc and what's coming. Also, she lets something slip that I'm not sure if it was a misspeak or if it addresses your theory above just a little.

Oh and if you're looking for laughs. I did just post a new battlestarbook for Act of Contrition/You Can't Go Home again. (This one might be the funniest...she says modestly.) ;)